The market moved
+1.7ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Politics · resolves Nov 23 · vol $5.66
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 2¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.7pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — http://www.cne.gw/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.