The market moved
+0.1ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Politics · resolves Nov 23 · vol $1.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 3¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — http://www.cne.gw/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.