The market moved
+3.4ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Qatar be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Sports · resolves Jul 19 · vol $187.11
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 5¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.4pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.