The market moved

-3.0ppin 24h · now 55¢

Will Rachel Reeves be in the Burnham cabinet?

Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $347.06

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 55¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.