Will Rand Paul be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.