The market moved
+34.5ppin 24h · now 39¢
Will Reformation's market cap be between $1B and $1.2B at market close on IPO day?
Business · resolves Jul 30 · vol $7.30
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 39¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 34.5pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.