The market moved
-8.0ppin 24h · now 33¢
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 33¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on associated press — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Associated Press.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.