The market moved
+12.5ppin 24h · now 90¢
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $582.59
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 90¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://www.fec.gov/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.