The market moved

-3.0ppin 24h · now 22¢

Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31?

Business · resolves Sep 1 · vol $655.14

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 22¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing — https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-70f3c3d1-565b-491a-83df-54d0c8b08186/data).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.