The market moved
+3.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will RFK Jr. say "Donald" or "Trump" during Friday address?
Sports · resolves Aug 23 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.