The market moved
-26.1ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?
Entertainment · resolves Sep 14 · vol $727.16
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 26.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://theemmys.tv/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.