The market moved

+2.0ppin 24h · now 25¢

Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026?

Other · resolves Jan 1 · vol $12.46

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 25¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.