The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 30¢
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Politics · resolves Jan 16 · vol $71.53
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 30¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.