The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $3.6K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://maps.app.goo.gl/vipjg3UsWpqRnhM6A).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.