The market moved
+4.0ppin 24h · now 49¢
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Geopolitics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $846.17
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 49¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://maps.app.goo.gl/cH9ekgbf9qbxGPUk6).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.