The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?
Geopolitics · resolves Oct 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on russian government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Russian government — http://www.constitution.ru/en/10003000-04.htm.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.