The market moved

+25.8ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will Rutte say "Defense" 20+ times during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 24 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 25.8pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: NATO — https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/events_236298.htm).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.