The market moved
+0.3ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?
Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $331.63
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the ky-06 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in th — https://www.rnc.org/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 7.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.