Will Sabrina Carpenter say "Manchild" during SNL appearance on October 18?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 49.5pp shift. Resolution depends on what has aired up to that point — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: what has aired up to that point — https://www.billboard.com/culture/tv-film/sabrina-carpenter-snl-promos-marcello-hernandez-1236091579/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.