The market moved
+4.7ppin 24h · now 11¢
Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
Politics · resolves Jun 2 · vol $759.49
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 11¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.7pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for california's 1 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 1 — https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.