The market moved
-5.5ppin 24h · now 15¢
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
Sports · resolves Dec 19 · vol $297.59
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 15¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.