The market moved

-1.8ppin 24h · now

Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum receive more than 10,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?

Politics · resolves Dec 12 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.8pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.cne.hn/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.