The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 63¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
Sports · resolves Jun 30 · vol $427.39
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 63¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on supreme court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Supreme Court.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.