The market moved
-9.2ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Politics · open · vol $9.2K
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.2pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.