The market moved

-20.6ppin 24h · now 15¢

Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

Entertainment · resolves Sep 14 · vol $3.6K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 15¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 20.6pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://theemmys.tv/.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.