The market moved

-37.3ppin 24h · now

Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?

Sports · resolves Jun 15 · vol $1.1K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 37.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to how much "scary movie" weekend box office will gross domestically on its second weekend — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend — https://www.the-numbers.com/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 20.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.