Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 21¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.