The market moved
-30.6ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will Scribe Therapeutics not IPO before September 2026?
Business · resolves Jul 24 · vol $432.45
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 30.6pp shift. Resolution depends on sec filing — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: SEC filing.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.