The market moved

+16.0ppin 24h · now 84¢

Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in July?

Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $17.14

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 84¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in inches in seattle between july 1 and july 31, 2026, 11:59pm et according to the national o — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National O — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.