The market moved

-1.4ppin 24h · now 29¢

Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?

Other · resolves Mar 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 29¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.4pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.