The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 42¢
Will Serghei Spivac be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Sports · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official ufc data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official UFC data — https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.