The market moved
-46.3ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Shea Langeliers hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Sports · resolves Oct 11 · vol $61.45
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 46.3pp shift. Resolution depends on official mlb data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official MLB data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.