The market moved
+1.5ppin 24h · now 21¢
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?
Sports · resolves Sep 28 · vol $352.05
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 21¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official mlb data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official MLB data.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.