The market moved

-5.0ppin 24h · now

Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?

Politics · resolves May 26 · vol $243.62

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the republican party to contest the tx-30 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in th — https://www.rnc.org/.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.