The market moved

-25.4ppin 24h · now 24¢

Will Skain Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)

Other · open · vol $269.09

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 24¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 25.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://soloqchallenge.gg).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.