The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 8¢
Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians?
Other · resolves Jul 4 · vol $21.88
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 8¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on volbysr.sk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: volbysr.sk — https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.