The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question restoring the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency?
Other · resolves Jul 4 · vol $32.35
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on volbysr.sk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: volbysr.sk — https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.