The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Slovakia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Other · resolves May 31 · vol $6.8K
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.