Will 'Smile 2' gross $21-24m opening weekend?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to the the numbers figures provided under weekend box office performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes — https://the-numbers.com/movie/Smile-2-(2024)#tab=box-office.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.