Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11-13m?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 57.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to how much “smurfs” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to how much “Smurfs” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend — https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Smurfs-(2025)#tab=summary.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.