The market moved
-6.0ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will SOFR hit 3.75% (High) between February 13 and February 28?
Other · resolves Mar 2 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/reference-rates/sofr.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.