Will something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.1pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.