The market moved
+12.0ppin 24h · now 25¢
Will Sonia Backès be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
Politics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $1.0K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 25¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://gouv.nc/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.