Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 13.6pp shift. Resolution depends on to the percentage change in the consumer price index (cpi) during the 12-month period ending december 2026 according to — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to — https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.