The market moved
-15.0ppin 24h · now 7¢
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.5% and 4.9%?
Macro · resolves Oct 27 · vol $40.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.0pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.