Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 2.0%?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 21¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.