The market moved
-2.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?
Macro · resolves Feb 28 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on finance.yahoo.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: finance.yahoo.com — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.