Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in January?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of spacex launches between january 1, 2026, 12:00am et and january 31, 2026, 11:59pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET — https://www.spacex.com/launches.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.