The market moved
+8.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Sports · resolves Jul 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.9pp shift. Resolution depends on youtube.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: youtube.com — https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 32.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.