The market moved
-22.5ppin 24h · now 36¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?
Sports · resolves Aug 31 · vol $1.3K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.5pp shift. Resolution depends on youtube.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: youtube.com — https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.