The market moved

+0.5ppin 24h · now 40¢

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Business · resolves Jul 1 · vol $3.0K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 40¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on spacex's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which spacex comple — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX comple.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.